Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Melbourne TigersHOME · -
100 : 762023.05.07 · 종료
Mt GambierAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME40.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY59.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 53.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+59.6%
VALUE EDGE+59.6%
FAIR ODDS1.68
GRADEA
Melbourne TigersAnalysis MetricsMt Gambier
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
+9.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-8.58
167.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
184.42
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
7.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.9 / 15
Prediction separation8.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Melbourne Tigers
W · 69-84L · 82-71W · 82-95W · 82-79L · 84-72
Mt Gambier
L · 106-105W · 92-79W · 106-82W · 94-103W · 97-80
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.03.29 | Melbourne Tigers | 98 : 77 | Mt Gambier |
| 2024.07.06 | Mt Gambier | 86 : 91 | Melbourne Tigers |
| 2023.05.07 | Melbourne Tigers | 100 : 76 | Mt Gambier |
| 2018.07.20 | Mt Gambier | 70 : 66 | Melbourne Tigers |
| 2016.07.01 | Mt Gambier | 106 : 67 | Melbourne Tigers |
| 2016.05.28 | Melbourne Tigers | 78 : 73 | Mt Gambier |