Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
FrankstonHOME · -
106 : 872023.05.07 · 종료
BallaratAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME59.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY40.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+59.1%
VALUE EDGE+59.1%
FAIR ODDS1.69
GRADES
FrankstonAnalysis MetricsBallarat
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
+6.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-8.58
185.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
203.58
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
7.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.0 / 15
Prediction separation7.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Frankston
L · 79-73W · 100-72W · 94-78L · 94-103W · 104-82
Ballarat
L · 87-75W · 97-88W · 84-94W · 83-94L · 104-76
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.26 | Ballarat | 83 : 111 | Frankston |
| 2024.07.20 | Frankston | 97 : 58 | Ballarat |
| 2024.06.30 | Frankston | 94 : 69 | Ballarat |
| 2023.05.07 | Frankston | 106 : 87 | Ballarat |
| 2018.05.19 | Ballarat | 115 : 94 | Frankston |
| 2016.07.10 | Frankston | 97 : 108 | Ballarat |
| 2016.05.29 | Ballarat | 99 : 76 | Frankston |
| 2015.07.26 | Frankston | 73 : 77 | Ballarat |
| 2015.05.03 | Ballarat | 115 : 80 | Frankston |