Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Australia

RingwoodHOME · -

104 : 852023.05.07 · 종료

Casey CavaliersAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME72.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY27.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK HOME 73.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +72.2%

VALUE EDGE+72.2%

FAIR ODDS1.39

GRADEA

RingwoodAnalysis MetricsCasey Cavaliers

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-4.50 Point MarginHigher is better +2.08

186.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 182.42

80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%

0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.5 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

72.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

27.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Ringwood

L · 81-71L · 92-79L · 77-87W · 97-87L · 99-108

Casey Cavaliers

L · 79-111L · 74-60W · 90-63W · 92-60L · 83-64

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.04.17	Casey Cavaliers	101 : 84	Ringwood
2024.04.08	Ringwood	94 : 91	Casey Cavaliers
2023.05.07	Ringwood	104 : 85	Casey Cavaliers