Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Diamond ValleyHOME · -
82 : 932023.05.07 · 종료
GeelongAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME43.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY56.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
AWAY 53.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+56.6%
VALUE EDGE+56.6%
FAIR ODDS1.77
GRADEA
Diamond ValleyAnalysis MetricsGeelong
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-1.67
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.00
183.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
178.67
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.6 / 15
Prediction separation5.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Diamond Valley
W · 87-75L · 85-93W · 73-79L · 94-78W · 89-90
Geelong
W · 106-105W · 79-73L · 90-63L · 87-92L · 85-96
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.05 | Geelong | 92 : 85 | Diamond Valley |
| 2026.04.18 | Diamond Valley | 104 : 91 | Geelong |
| 2024.07.13 | Diamond Valley | 72 : 83 | Geelong |
| 2023.05.07 | Diamond Valley | 82 : 93 | Geelong |
| 2018.05.12 | Geelong | 96 : 76 | Diamond Valley |