Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Australia

Diamond ValleyHOME · -

87 : 752023.05.06 · 종료

BallaratAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME39.5%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY60.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK AWAY 57.8% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +60.5%

VALUE EDGE+60.5%

FAIR ODDS1.65

GRADEA

Diamond ValleyAnalysis MetricsBallarat

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

-1.67 Point MarginHigher is better -8.58

183.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 203.58

60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%

7.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement7.3 / 15

Prediction separation9.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

39.5%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

60.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Diamond Valley

L · 85-93W · 73-79L · 94-78W · 89-90W · 108-99

Ballarat

W · 97-88W · 84-94W · 83-94L · 104-76L · 95-92

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.03.29	Ballarat	112 : 97	Diamond Valley
2024.05.26	Ballarat	99 : 96	Diamond Valley
2023.07.09	Ballarat	105 : 87	Diamond Valley
2023.05.06	Diamond Valley	87 : 75	Ballarat
2018.07.21	Diamond Valley	66 : 76	Ballarat
2018.06.17	Ballarat	80 : 83	Diamond Valley