Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Keilor ThunderHOME · -
98 : 892023.05.06 · 종료
KilsythAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME43.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY56.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 53.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+56.4%
VALUE EDGE+56.4%
FAIR ODDS1.77
GRADEA
Keilor ThunderAnalysis MetricsKilsyth
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+8.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.00
173.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
180.00
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.2 / 15
Prediction separation5.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Keilor Thunder
L · 102-66W · 85-93L · 106-82W · 84-72W · 95-92
Kilsyth
L · 94-92L · 108-92L · 97-87W · 81-88W · 112-84
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.16 | Keilor Thunder | 88 : 99 | Kilsyth |
| 2024.05.25 | Keilor Thunder | 76 : 65 | Kilsyth |
| 2024.04.11 | Kilsyth | 108 : 81 | Keilor Thunder |
| 2023.05.06 | Keilor Thunder | 98 : 89 | Kilsyth |