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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 South Australia
DandenongHOME · -
74 : 1032023.05.06 · 종료
Sandringham SabresAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME65.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY34.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK HOME 67.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +65.1%
VALUE EDGE+65.1%
FAIR ODDS1.53
GRADEB
DandenongAnalysis MetricsSandringham Sabres
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-3.25 Point MarginHigher is better +3.08
184.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 188.58
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

66/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.9 / 15
Prediction separation13.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
65.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
34.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Dandenong
L · 97-88L · 100-72L · 82-95L · 89-90W · 107-84
Sandringham Sabres
W · 89-75W · 97-82W · 87-92W · 83-64L · 112-84

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.04.02Sandringham Sabres81 : 101Dandenong
2024.06.22Dandenong80 : 109Sandringham Sabres
2023.05.06Dandenong74 : 103Sandringham Sabres