Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Casey CavaliersHOME · -
79 : 1112023.05.06 · 종료
NW TasmaniaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME76.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+76.1%
VALUE EDGE+76.1%
FAIR ODDS1.31
GRADEA
Casey CavaliersAnalysis MetricsNW Tasmania
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+2.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.08
182.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.75
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
44.4%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Casey Cavaliers
L · 74-60W · 90-63W · 92-60L · 83-64L · 97-80
NW Tasmania
L · 69-84L · 84-94L · 62-100W · 95-99L · 98-72
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.04.27 | NW Tasmania | 84 : 83 | Casey Cavaliers |
| 2023.05.06 | Casey Cavaliers | 79 : 111 | NW Tasmania |