Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
ElthamHOME · -
102 : 662023.04.30 · 종료
Keilor ThunderAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME75.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY24.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+75.6%
VALUE EDGE+75.6%
FAIR ODDS1.32
GRADEB
ElthamAnalysis MetricsKeilor Thunder
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
+14.58
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.25
169.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
173.75
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
71.4%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Eltham
L · 89-75W · 91-72W · 77-87W · 98-72W · 77-87
Keilor Thunder
W · 85-93L · 106-82W · 84-72W · 95-92L · 73-88
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.06.20 | Keilor Thunder | 81 : 90 | Eltham |
| 2026.04.01 | Eltham | 80 : 93 | Keilor Thunder |
| 2024.07.11 | Keilor Thunder | 67 : 98 | Eltham |
| 2023.04.30 | Eltham | 102 : 66 | Keilor Thunder |