Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Mt GambierHOME · -
92 : 792023.04.29 · 종료
RingwoodAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME68.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY32.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+68.0%
VALUE EDGE+68.0%
FAIR ODDS1.47
GRADEA
Mt GambierAnalysis MetricsRingwood
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-8.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.50
184.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
186.17
12.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mt Gambier
W · 106-82W · 94-103W · 97-80W · 94-104W · 89-119
Ringwood
L · 77-87W · 97-87L · 99-108L · 108-99W · 71-81
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.29 | Mt Gambier | 95 : 97 | Ringwood |
| 2026.03.28 | Ringwood | 95 : 98 | Mt Gambier |
| 2024.07.12 | Mt Gambier | 117 : 75 | Ringwood |
| 2023.06.17 | Ringwood | 98 : 105 | Mt Gambier |
| 2023.04.29 | Mt Gambier | 92 : 79 | Ringwood |