Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
BallaratHOME · -
97 : 882023.04.29 · 종료
DandenongAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME66.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY33.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+66.1%
VALUE EDGE+66.1%
FAIR ODDS1.51
GRADEA
BallaratAnalysis MetricsDandenong
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-8.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.25
203.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
184.42
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.6 / 15
Prediction separation13.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ballarat
W · 84-94W · 83-94L · 104-76L · 95-92W · 118-100
Dandenong
L · 100-72L · 82-95L · 89-90W · 107-84L · 93-78
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.05 | Dandenong | 111 : 81 | Ballarat |
| 2024.07.27 | Ballarat | 91 : 78 | Dandenong |
| 2024.06.15 | Ballarat | 84 : 86 | Dandenong |
| 2023.04.29 | Ballarat | 97 : 88 | Dandenong |
| 2018.04.06 | Ballarat | 94 : 82 | Dandenong |
| 2016.05.14 | Ballarat | 94 : 92 | Dandenong |
| 2015.08.22 | Dandenong | 91 : 85 | Ballarat |
| 2015.08.02 | Dandenong | 80 : 97 | Ballarat |
| 2015.05.23 | Ballarat | 90 : 101 | Dandenong |