Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
GeelongHOME · -
79 : 732023.04.29 · 종료
FrankstonAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME65.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY34.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+65.3%
VALUE EDGE+65.3%
FAIR ODDS1.53
GRADEA
GeelongAnalysis MetricsFrankston
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
-2.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+6.33
178.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
185.00
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
83.3%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.1 / 15
Prediction separation13.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Geelong
L · 90-63L · 87-92L · 85-96L · 97-95L · 86-71
Frankston
W · 100-72W · 94-78L · 94-103W · 104-82W · 78-102
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.04 | Frankston | 100 : 62 | Geelong |
| 2024.05.19 | Frankston | 115 : 83 | Geelong |
| 2024.04.20 | Geelong | 67 : 64 | Frankston |
| 2023.04.29 | Geelong | 79 : 73 | Frankston |
| 2018.06.23 | Geelong | 104 : 88 | Frankston |
| 2018.06.02 | Frankston | 96 : 87 | Geelong |
| 2016.06.25 | Geelong | 81 : 85 | Frankston |
| 2016.04.16 | Frankston | 73 : 90 | Geelong |
| 2015.05.10 | Geelong | 91 : 78 | Frankston |