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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 South Australia
Diamond ValleyHOME · -
85 : 932023.04.29 · 종료
Keilor ThunderAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME61.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY39.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 57.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +61.0%
VALUE EDGE+61.0%
FAIR ODDS1.64
GRADEA
Diamond ValleyAnalysis MetricsKeilor Thunder
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%
-1.67 Point MarginHigher is better +8.25
183.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 173.75
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 71.4%
3.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.0 / 15
Prediction separation9.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
61.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
39.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Diamond Valley
W · 73-79L · 94-78W · 89-90W · 108-99L · 77-87
Keilor Thunder
L · 106-82W · 84-72W · 95-92L · 73-88

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.05.02Diamond Valley98 : 101Keilor Thunder
2024.07.05Keilor Thunder112 : 93Diamond Valley
2024.04.09Diamond Valley106 : 110Keilor Thunder
2023.06.24Keilor Thunder89 : 91Diamond Valley
2023.04.29Diamond Valley85 : 93Keilor Thunder