Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Hobart ChargersHOME · -
82 : 712023.04.28 · 종료
Melbourne TigersAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME69.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY30.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+69.5%
VALUE EDGE+69.5%
FAIR ODDS1.44
GRADEA
Hobart ChargersAnalysis MetricsMelbourne Tigers
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-11.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+9.25
190.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
167.75
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hobart Chargers
W · 76-73L · 83-94W · 99-108L · 107-84L · 80-70
Melbourne Tigers
W · 82-95W · 82-79L · 84-72L · 88-91L · 92-68
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.03 | Hobart Chargers | 63 : 101 | Melbourne Tigers |
| 2024.05.10 | Hobart Chargers | 81 : 63 | Melbourne Tigers |
| 2023.04.28 | Hobart Chargers | 82 : 71 | Melbourne Tigers |
| 2018.06.15 | Hobart Chargers | 77 : 93 | Melbourne Tigers |
| 2016.08.05 | Hobart Chargers | 84 : 76 | Melbourne Tigers |
| 2016.04.16 | Melbourne Tigers | 67 : 79 | Hobart Chargers |