Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Mt GambierHOME · -
106 : 822023.04.22 · 종료
Keilor ThunderAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME67.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY32.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+67.5%
VALUE EDGE+67.5%
FAIR ODDS1.48
GRADEA
Mt GambierAnalysis MetricsKeilor Thunder
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
-8.58
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.25
184.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
173.75
12.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
71.4%
6.3일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mt Gambier
W · 94-103W · 97-80W · 94-104W · 89-119L · 85-71
Keilor Thunder
W · 84-72W · 95-92L · 73-88
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.10 | Mt Gambier | 69 : 102 | Keilor Thunder |
| 2024.06.07 | Keilor Thunder | 64 : 80 | Mt Gambier |
| 2024.04.26 | Mt Gambier | 83 : 96 | Keilor Thunder |
| 2023.04.22 | Mt Gambier | 106 : 82 | Keilor Thunder |