Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBL1 South Australia

NunawadingHOME · -

108 : 922023.04.22 · 종료

KilsythAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME61.0%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY39.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100

AI PICK HOME 57.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +61.0%

VALUE EDGE+61.0%

FAIR ODDS1.64

GRADES

NunawadingAnalysis MetricsKilsyth

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

+6.83 Point MarginHigher is better -4.00

194.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 180.00

50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 37.5%

2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.6 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.4 / 15

Prediction separation9.5 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

61.0%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

39.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Nunawading

L · 82-79W · 104-76W · 76-84L · 94-104L · 58-72

Kilsyth

L · 97-87W · 81-88W · 112-84W · 93-78W · 97-95

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.04.27	Kilsyth	74 : 94	Nunawading
2023.06.17	Kilsyth	90 : 85	Nunawading
2023.04.22	Nunawading	108 : 92	Kilsyth
2018.08.11	Nunawading	78 : 70	Kilsyth
2018.05.26	Kilsyth	75 : 97	Nunawading
2016.07.30	Nunawading	69 : 63	Kilsyth
2016.04.17	Kilsyth	86 : 74	Nunawading