Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Hobart ChargersHOME · -
76 : 732023.04.22 · 종료
KnoxAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME40.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY59.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 53.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+59.6%
VALUE EDGE+59.6%
FAIR ODDS1.68
GRADEA
Hobart ChargersAnalysis MetricsKnox
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-11.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+7.50
190.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
188.67
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.5 / 15
Prediction separation8.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hobart Chargers
L · 83-94W · 99-108L · 107-84L · 80-70L · 93-72
Knox
W · 62-100L · 81-88L · 76-84W · 73-88
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.17 | Knox | 121 : 86 | Hobart Chargers |
| 2024.05.19 | Knox | 91 : 80 | Hobart Chargers |
| 2023.04.22 | Hobart Chargers | 76 : 73 | Knox |