Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Casey CavaliersHOME · -
90 : 632023.04.22 · 종료
GeelongAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME65.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY34.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+65.2%
VALUE EDGE+65.2%
FAIR ODDS1.53
GRADEA
Casey CavaliersAnalysis MetricsGeelong
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+2.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.00
182.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
178.67
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.6 / 15
Prediction separation13.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Casey Cavaliers
W · 92-60L · 83-64L · 97-80L · 97-72
Geelong
L · 87-92L · 85-96L · 97-95L · 86-71W · 65-90
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.06.21 | Casey Cavaliers | 89 : 83 | Geelong |
| 2024.06.28 | Geelong | 88 : 77 | Casey Cavaliers |
| 2023.04.22 | Casey Cavaliers | 90 : 63 | Geelong |