Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
NW TasmaniaHOME · -
62 : 1002023.04.21 · 종료
KnoxAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME40.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY60.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+60.0%
VALUE EDGE+60.0%
FAIR ODDS1.67
GRADEA
NW TasmaniaAnalysis MetricsKnox
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-5.08
Point MarginHigher is better
+7.50
169.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
188.67
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
5.3일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation8.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
NW Tasmania
W · 95-99L · 98-72W · 80-70L · 96-74L · 104-63
Knox
L · 81-88L · 76-84W · 73-88
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.06.23 | Knox | 95 : 70 | NW Tasmania |
| 2023.07.01 | Knox | 85 : 80 | NW Tasmania |
| 2023.04.21 | NW Tasmania | 62 : 100 | Knox |