Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Sandringham SabresHOME · -
83 : 642023.04.16 · 종료
Casey CavaliersAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME44.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY56.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
AWAY 53.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+56.0%
VALUE EDGE+56.0%
FAIR ODDS1.79
GRADEA
Sandringham SabresAnalysis MetricsCasey Cavaliers
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+3.08
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.08
188.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
182.42
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
1.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.9 / 15
Prediction separation5.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sandringham Sabres
L · 112-84L · 78-102L · 89-119
Casey Cavaliers
L · 97-80L · 97-72
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.26 | Sandringham Sabres | 99 : 91 | Casey Cavaliers |
| 2026.05.09 | Casey Cavaliers | 93 : 92 | Sandringham Sabres |
| 2024.04.10 | Sandringham Sabres | 81 : 87 | Casey Cavaliers |
| 2023.06.17 | Casey Cavaliers | 62 : 74 | Sandringham Sabres |
| 2023.04.16 | Sandringham Sabres | 83 : 64 | Casey Cavaliers |