Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Australia

DandenongHOME · -

89 : 902023.04.16 · 종료

Diamond ValleyAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME67.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY32.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 67.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +67.8%

VALUE EDGE+67.8%

FAIR ODDS1.47

GRADEA

DandenongAnalysis MetricsDiamond Valley

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-3.25 Point MarginHigher is better -1.67

184.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 183.00

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%

0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.7일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.9 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

67.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

32.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Dandenong

W · 107-84L · 93-78W · 97-72W · 92-78L · 90-99

Diamond Valley

W · 108-99L · 77-87L · 66-76W · 91-95W · 80-99

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.07.18	Diamond Valley	97 : 87	Dandenong
2026.06.13	Dandenong	88 : 100	Diamond Valley
2024.05.18	Diamond Valley	77 : 88	Dandenong
2023.04.16	Dandenong	89 : 90	Diamond Valley
2018.06.03	Dandenong	83 : 70	Diamond Valley
2018.04.22	Diamond Valley	74 : 83	Dandenong