Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
DandenongHOME · -
107 : 842023.04.15 · 종료
Hobart ChargersAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME40.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY59.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 53.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+59.7%
VALUE EDGE+59.7%
FAIR ODDS1.67
GRADEA
DandenongAnalysis MetricsHobart Chargers
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-3.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-11.50
184.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
190.33
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
9.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.9 / 15
Prediction separation8.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Dandenong
L · 93-78W · 97-72W · 92-78L · 90-99L · 80-72
Hobart Chargers
L · 80-70L · 93-72L · 102-87L · 86-92W · 58-72
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.15 | Hobart Chargers | 94 : 98 | Dandenong |
| 2024.04.12 | Hobart Chargers | 85 : 73 | Dandenong |
| 2023.04.15 | Dandenong | 107 : 84 | Hobart Chargers |
| 2018.07.15 | Dandenong | 90 : 99 | Hobart Chargers |
| 2018.06.29 | Hobart Chargers | 97 : 87 | Dandenong |
| 2016.05.06 | Hobart Chargers | 90 : 72 | Dandenong |
| 2015.05.24 | Dandenong | 83 : 81 | Hobart Chargers |