Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
FrankstonHOME · -
104 : 822023.04.15 · 종료
WaverleyAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME55.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY44.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+55.6%
VALUE EDGE+55.6%
FAIR ODDS1.80
GRADEA
FrankstonAnalysis MetricsWaverley
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
+6.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.92
185.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
187.42
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
9.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.2 / 15
Prediction separation4.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Frankston
W · 78-102W · 87-101L · 85-74W · 95-90W · 89-86
Waverley
W · 88-91L · 71-81
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.05 | Waverley | 78 : 95 | Frankston |
| 2026.05.16 | Frankston | 84 : 88 | Waverley |
| 2024.07.06 | Waverley | 66 : 98 | Frankston |
| 2023.04.15 | Frankston | 104 : 82 | Waverley |