Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
KnoxHOME · -
81 : 882023.04.15 · 종료
KilsythAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME39.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY60.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+60.1%
VALUE EDGE+60.1%
FAIR ODDS1.67
GRADEA
KnoxAnalysis MetricsKilsyth
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+7.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.00
188.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
180.00
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.3 / 15
Prediction separation8.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Knox
L · 76-84W · 73-88
Kilsyth
W · 112-84W · 93-78W · 97-95L · 78-70W · 111-88
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.11 | Knox | 102 : 89 | Kilsyth |
| 2024.06.01 | Knox | 99 : 84 | Kilsyth |
| 2024.04.06 | Kilsyth | 83 : 109 | Knox |
| 2023.07.15 | Kilsyth | 86 : 87 | Knox |
| 2023.04.15 | Knox | 81 : 88 | Kilsyth |