Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Australia

Keilor ThunderHOME · -

84 : 722023.04.15 · 종료

Melbourne TigersAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME61.1%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY38.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK HOME 57.7% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +61.1%

VALUE EDGE+61.1%

FAIR ODDS1.64

GRADEA

Keilor ThunderAnalysis MetricsMelbourne Tigers

75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

+8.25 Point MarginHigher is better +9.25

173.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 167.75

80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 80.0%

1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.5 / 15

Prediction separation9.5 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

61.1%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

38.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Keilor Thunder

W · 95-92L · 73-88

Melbourne Tigers

L · 88-91L · 92-68L · 70-66W · 80-72L · 104-62

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.05.30	Melbourne Tigers	95 : 80	Keilor Thunder
2024.06.01	Melbourne Tigers	69 : 82	Keilor Thunder
2023.04.15	Keilor Thunder	84 : 72	Melbourne Tigers