Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
NunawadingHOME · -
104 : 762023.04.15 · 종료
BallaratAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME53.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY46.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+53.1%
VALUE EDGE+53.1%
FAIR ODDS1.88
GRADEA
NunawadingAnalysis MetricsBallarat
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
+6.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-8.58
194.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
203.58
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.9 / 15
Prediction separation2.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Nunawading
W · 76-84L · 94-104L · 58-72W · 78-70W · 80-69
Ballarat
L · 95-92W · 118-100W · 92-68L · 65-90W · 66-76
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.18 | Nunawading | 99 : 115 | Ballarat |
| 2024.06.22 | Ballarat | 79 : 94 | Nunawading |
| 2023.04.15 | Nunawading | 104 : 76 | Ballarat |
| 2018.07.07 | Ballarat | 89 : 80 | Nunawading |
| 2018.06.03 | Nunawading | 93 : 100 | Ballarat |
| 2016.06.25 | Nunawading | 89 : 90 | Ballarat |
| 2016.05.21 | Ballarat | 96 : 88 | Nunawading |
| 2015.08.08 | Ballarat | 92 : 76 | Nunawading |
| 2015.05.02 | Nunawading | 91 : 88 | Ballarat |