Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Mt GambierHOME · -
97 : 802023.04.14 · 종료
Casey CavaliersAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME82.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY17.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 84.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+82.9%
VALUE EDGE+82.9%
FAIR ODDS1.21
GRADEB
Mt GambierAnalysis MetricsCasey Cavaliers
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-8.58
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.08
184.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
182.42
12.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
12.3일
Rest daysComparison metric
13.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
65/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mt Gambier
W · 94-104W · 89-119L · 85-71W · 70-66L · 72-89
Casey Cavaliers
L · 97-72
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.23 | Mt Gambier | 85 : 109 | Casey Cavaliers |
| 2024.05.19 | Casey Cavaliers | 70 : 82 | Mt Gambier |
| 2023.04.14 | Mt Gambier | 97 : 80 | Casey Cavaliers |