Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBL1 South Australia

Melbourne TigersHOME · -

88 : 912023.04.13 · 종료

WaverleyAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME42.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY57.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 53.3% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +57.2%

VALUE EDGE+57.2%

FAIR ODDS1.75

GRADEA

Melbourne TigersAnalysis MetricsWaverley

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

+9.25 Point MarginHigher is better -5.92

167.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 187.42

57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%

12.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 11.3일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement7.1 / 15

Prediction separation6.1 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

42.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

57.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Melbourne Tigers

L · 92-68L · 70-66W · 80-72L · 104-62L · 77-97

Waverley

L · 71-81

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.04.02	Waverley	92 : 73	Melbourne Tigers
2024.07.11	Melbourne Tigers	88 : 71	Waverley
2024.04.20	Waverley	93 : 94	Melbourne Tigers
2023.07.02	Waverley	82 : 73	Melbourne Tigers
2023.04.13	Melbourne Tigers	88 : 91	Waverley