Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia

BallaratHOME · -
118 : 1002023.04.06 · 종료
Bendigo BravesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME57.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+57.6%
VALUE EDGE+57.6%
FAIR ODDS1.74
GRADEA
BallaratAnalysis MetricsBendigo Braves
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-8.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-10.33
203.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
170.00
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
5.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation6.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ballarat
W · 92-68L · 65-90W · 66-76L · 95-101W · 84-88
Bendigo Braves
L · 87-101
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.09 | Bendigo Braves | 94 : 83 | Ballarat |
| 2026.03.28 | Ballarat | 79 : 89 | Bendigo Braves |
| 2024.06.01 | Bendigo Braves | 75 : 76 | Ballarat |
| 2024.04.03 | Ballarat | 97 : 86 | Bendigo Braves |
| 2023.07.15 | Bendigo Braves | 99 : 93 | Ballarat |
| 2023.04.06 | Ballarat | 118 : 100 | Bendigo Braves |