Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
KilsythHOME · -
93 : 782023.04.06 · 종료
DandenongAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME67.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY32.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+67.2%
VALUE EDGE+67.2%
FAIR ODDS1.49
GRADEA
KilsythAnalysis MetricsDandenong
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-4.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.25
180.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
184.42
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
5.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.9 / 15
Prediction separation14.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kilsyth
W · 97-95L · 78-70W · 111-88L · 96-98L · 104-89
Dandenong
W · 97-72W · 92-78L · 90-99L · 80-72W · 83-75
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.25 | Dandenong | 99 : 92 | Kilsyth |
| 2026.05.09 | Dandenong | 81 : 96 | Kilsyth |
| 2024.05.04 | Dandenong | 100 : 90 | Kilsyth |
| 2023.05.27 | Dandenong | 107 : 73 | Kilsyth |
| 2023.04.06 | Kilsyth | 93 : 78 | Dandenong |
| 2018.04.28 | Kilsyth | 89 : 75 | Dandenong |
| 2016.07.16 | Kilsyth | 75 : 82 | Dandenong |
| 2016.04.16 | Dandenong | 93 : 79 | Kilsyth |
| 2015.04.11 | Dandenong | 80 : 72 | Kilsyth |