Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
BallaratHOME · -
92 : 682023.04.01 · 종료
Melbourne TigersAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME65.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY34.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+65.6%
VALUE EDGE+65.6%
FAIR ODDS1.53
GRADEA
BallaratAnalysis MetricsMelbourne Tigers
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-8.58
Point MarginHigher is better
+9.25
203.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
167.75
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.9 / 15
Prediction separation13.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ballarat
L · 65-90W · 66-76L · 95-101W · 84-88W · 89-80
Melbourne Tigers
L · 70-66W · 80-72L · 104-62L · 77-97L · 83-75
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.16 | Ballarat | 82 : 108 | Melbourne Tigers |
| 2026.04.12 | Melbourne Tigers | 96 : 75 | Ballarat |
| 2024.06.29 | Ballarat | 87 : 81 | Melbourne Tigers |
| 2024.05.18 | Melbourne Tigers | 80 : 78 | Ballarat |
| 2023.06.04 | Melbourne Tigers | 106 : 88 | Ballarat |
| 2023.04.01 | Ballarat | 92 : 68 | Melbourne Tigers |
| 2016.07.31 | Ballarat | 118 : 87 | Melbourne Tigers |
| 2016.05.08 | Melbourne Tigers | 82 : 103 | Ballarat |