Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
NW TasmaniaHOME · -
80 : 702023.04.01 · 종료
Hobart ChargersAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME33.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY66.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 67.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+66.1%
VALUE EDGE+66.1%
FAIR ODDS1.51
GRADEA
NW TasmaniaAnalysis MetricsHobart Chargers
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-5.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-11.50
169.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
190.33
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.5 / 15
Prediction separation13.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
NW Tasmania
L · 96-74L · 104-63L · 91-95W · 77-97L · 79-73
Hobart Chargers
L · 93-72L · 102-87L · 86-92W · 58-72W · 86-71
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.05.31 | Hobart Chargers | 88 : 73 | NW Tasmania |
| 2024.04.06 | NW Tasmania | 85 : 61 | Hobart Chargers |
| 2023.07.14 | Hobart Chargers | 76 : 68 | NW Tasmania |
| 2023.04.01 | NW Tasmania | 80 : 70 | Hobart Chargers |
| 2018.07.20 | Hobart Chargers | 104 : 63 | NW Tasmania |
| 2018.04.14 | NW Tasmania | 68 : 92 | Hobart Chargers |
| 2016.04.08 | Hobart Chargers | 89 : 73 | NW Tasmania |
| 2015.07.03 | Hobart Chargers | 61 : 65 | NW Tasmania |
| 2015.05.09 | NW Tasmania | 62 : 59 | Hobart Chargers |