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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 North Women Australia · NBL1 North Women - Final
Logan Thunder WHOME · -
57 : 852022.08.26 · 종료
Townsville Flames WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME73.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY26.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 73.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +73.7%
VALUE EDGE+73.7%
FAIR ODDS1.36
GRADEA
Logan Thunder WAnalysis MetricsTownsville Flames W
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+10.42 Point MarginHigher is better +4.75
168.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 171.75
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%
6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
73.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
26.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Logan Thunder W
W · 85-62W · 90-62W · 77-80W · 111-67W · 61-80
Townsville Flames W
W · 81-108W · 97-77W · 64-95W · 59-93W · 70-89

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.07.11Townsville Flames W91 : 84Logan Thunder W
2025.05.23Logan Thunder W78 : 59Townsville Flames W
2022.08.27Logan Thunder W48 : 80Townsville Flames W
2022.08.26Logan Thunder W57 : 85Townsville Flames W
2022.06.11Townsville Flames W77 : 95Logan Thunder W