Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North Women
Australia · NBL1 North Women - Semi-finals
Logan Thunder WHOME · -
85 : 622022.08.20 · 종료
Brisbane Capitals WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME85.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY14.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 88.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+85.6%
VALUE EDGE+85.6%
FAIR ODDS1.17
GRADES
Logan Thunder WAnalysis MetricsBrisbane Capitals W
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
+10.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-13.17
168.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
158.00
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Logan Thunder W
W · 90-62W · 77-80W · 111-67W · 61-80W · 105-77
Brisbane Capitals W
W · 81-66W · 81-70W · 60-71L · 68-76W · 106-62
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.25 | Logan Thunder W | 86 : 52 | Brisbane Capitals W |
| 2025.07.18 | Brisbane Capitals W | 75 : 79 | Logan Thunder W |
| 2022.08.20 | Logan Thunder W | 85 : 62 | Brisbane Capitals W |
| 2022.06.03 | Brisbane Capitals W | 53 : 75 | Logan Thunder W |