Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North Women
Australia · NBL1 North Women - Quarter-finals
Townsville Flames WHOME · -
97 : 772022.08.13 · 종료
Mackay Meteorettes WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME77.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY22.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 78.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+77.7%
VALUE EDGE+77.7%
FAIR ODDS1.29
GRADEB
Townsville Flames WAnalysis MetricsMackay Meteorettes W
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+4.75
Point MarginHigher is better
+10.67
171.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.67
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
71.4%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Townsville Flames W
W · 64-95W · 59-93W · 70-89W · 89-74W · 90-60
Mackay Meteorettes W
W · 95-80W · 85-91L · 89-74L · 77-107L · 58-88
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.08.09 | Townsville Flames W | 87 : 120 | Mackay Meteorettes W |
| 2026.08.08 | Townsville Flames W | 82 : 76 | Mackay Meteorettes W |
| 2026.08.07 | Townsville Flames W | 78 : 107 | Mackay Meteorettes W |
| 2026.07.03 | Mackay Meteorettes W | 78 : 88 | Townsville Flames W |
| 2026.05.22 | Townsville Flames W | 83 : 95 | Mackay Meteorettes W |
| 2025.07.04 | Townsville Flames W | 70 : 67 | Mackay Meteorettes W |
| 2025.05.10 | Mackay Meteorettes W | 85 : 74 | Townsville Flames W |
| 2022.08.13 | Townsville Flames W | 97 : 77 | Mackay Meteorettes W |
| 2022.07.23 | Townsville Flames W | 89 : 74 | Mackay Meteorettes W |
| 2022.06.17 | Mackay Meteorettes W | 77 : 70 | Townsville Flames W |