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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 North Women Australia · NBL1 North Women - Quarter-finals
Logan Thunder WHOME · -
90 : 622022.08.13 · 종료
Cairns WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME87.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY12.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 88.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +87.3%
VALUE EDGE+87.3%
FAIR ODDS1.15
GRADEA
Logan Thunder WAnalysis MetricsCairns W
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+10.42 Point MarginHigher is better +6.00
168.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 170.33
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%
6.3일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
87.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
12.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Logan Thunder W
W · 77-80W · 111-67W · 61-80W · 105-77W · 117-52
Cairns W
L · 64-95L · 89-56L · 102-66W · 68-76W · 103-91

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.07.10Cairns W83 : 91Logan Thunder W
2025.05.10Logan Thunder W101 : 71Cairns W
2022.08.13Logan Thunder W90 : 62Cairns W
2022.06.10Cairns W69 : 102Logan Thunder W