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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 North Women Australia · 15
Cairns WHOME · -
64 : 952022.08.06 · 종료
Townsville Flames WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME28.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY71.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 73.3% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +71.2%
VALUE EDGE+71.2%
FAIR ODDS1.40
GRADEA
Cairns WAnalysis MetricsTownsville Flames W
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+6.00 Point MarginHigher is better +4.75
170.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 171.75
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%
8.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
28.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
71.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Cairns W
L · 89-56L · 102-66W · 68-76W · 103-91W · 95-74
Townsville Flames W
W · 59-93W · 70-89W · 89-74W · 90-60W · 97-63

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.08.01Cairns W90 : 94Townsville Flames W
2026.06.19Townsville Flames W91 : 69Cairns W
2026.05.09Cairns W92 : 67Townsville Flames W
2026.04.18Cairns W105 : 73Townsville Flames W
2025.08.02Cairns W89 : 74Townsville Flames W
2025.07.26Cairns W82 : 75Townsville Flames W
2025.05.03Townsville Flames W63 : 97Cairns W
2022.08.06Cairns W64 : 95Townsville Flames W
2022.06.25Townsville Flames W107 : 75Cairns W