Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North Women
Australia · 11
Mackay Meteorettes WHOME · -
58 : 882022.07.08 · 종료
Southern District Spartans WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME18.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY81.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 82.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+81.7%
VALUE EDGE+81.7%
FAIR ODDS1.22
GRADEB
Mackay Meteorettes WAnalysis MetricsSouthern District Spartans W
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+10.67
Point MarginHigher is better
+1.58
169.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
160.58
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
83.3%
13.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mackay Meteorettes W
W · 85-87W · 77-70W · 75-95W · 56-85W · 77-103
Southern District Spartans W
W · 64-90L · 64-77W · 102-63W · 73-102W · 70-104
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.25 | Mackay Meteorettes W | 78 : 84 | Southern District Spartans W |
| 2025.08.09 | Southern District Spartans W | 96 : 79 | Mackay Meteorettes W |
| 2025.06.21 | Southern District Spartans W | 88 : 77 | Mackay Meteorettes W |
| 2022.07.08 | Mackay Meteorettes W | 58 : 88 | Southern District Spartans W |