Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North Women
Australia · 3
Cairns WHOME · -
88 : 622022.05.14 · 종료
South West Metro Pirates WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME82.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY17.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 82.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+82.5%
VALUE EDGE+82.5%
FAIR ODDS1.21
GRADEA
Cairns WAnalysis MetricsSouth West Metro Pirates W
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
+6.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-10.33
170.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
148.50
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Cairns W
W · 78-98W · 83-71
South West Metro Pirates W
L · 71-61L · 73-78L · 94-72
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.24 | Cairns W | 95 : 49 | South West Metro Pirates W |
| 2025.07.12 | South West Metro Pirates W | 63 : 95 | Cairns W |
| 2022.05.14 | Cairns W | 88 : 62 | South West Metro Pirates W |