Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBL1 North Women Australia · 3

Townsville Flames WHOME · -

71 : 612022.05.13 · 종료

South West Metro Pirates WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME80.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY19.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100

AI PICK HOME 82.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +80.9%

VALUE EDGE+80.9%

FAIR ODDS1.24

GRADEA

Townsville Flames WAnalysis MetricsSouth West Metro Pirates W

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

+4.75 Point MarginHigher is better -10.33

171.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 148.50

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage17.7 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.7 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

80.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

19.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Townsville Flames W

W · 60-79W · 101-64

South West Metro Pirates W

L · 73-78L · 94-72

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2025.06.27	South West Metro Pirates W	89 : 68	Townsville Flames W
2022.05.13	Townsville Flames W	71 : 61	South West Metro Pirates W