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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

KHL Russia · Quarter-finals
Metallurg MagnitogorskHOME · -
5 : 22015.03.16 · 종료
Sibir NovosibirskAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME54.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY45.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
아이스하키 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goal differential · Goals against · Recent form · Home ice

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 51.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +54.8%
VALUE EDGE+54.8%
FAIR ODDS1.83
GRADEA
Metallurg MagnitogorskAnalysis MetricsSibir Novosibirsk
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+0.25 Goal DifferentialHigher is better +0.75
2.33 Average goals concededLower is better 1.83
75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
2.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.7 / 15
Prediction separation4.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
54.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
45.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Metallurg Magnitogorsk
L · 3-2L · 2-0W · 3-1W · 4-6W · 1-2
Sibir Novosibirsk
W · 3-2W · 2-0W · 1-2W · 3-1W · 3-7

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.03.19Sibir Novosibirsk3 : 1Metallurg Magnitogorsk
2015.03.16Metallurg Magnitogorsk5 : 2Sibir Novosibirsk
2015.03.14Sibir Novosibirsk3 : 2Metallurg Magnitogorsk
2015.03.13Sibir Novosibirsk2 : 0Metallurg Magnitogorsk
2014.11.12Sibir Novosibirsk4 : 1Metallurg Magnitogorsk
2014.09.23Metallurg Magnitogorsk2 : 1Sibir Novosibirsk
2014.03.25Sibir Novosibirsk2 : 3Metallurg Magnitogorsk
2014.03.22Metallurg Magnitogorsk3 : 2Sibir Novosibirsk
2014.01.25Sibir Novosibirsk2 : 1Metallurg Magnitogorsk
2012.12.26Metallurg Magnitogorsk3 : 5Sibir Novosibirsk