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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

KHL Russia · Quarter-finals
Sibir NovosibirskHOME · -
2 : 02015.03.13 · 종료
Metallurg MagnitogorskAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME43.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY56.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
아이스하키 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goal differential · Goals against · Recent form · Home ice

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 55.0% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +56.5%
VALUE EDGE+56.5%
FAIR ODDS1.77
GRADEA
Sibir NovosibirskAnalysis MetricsMetallurg Magnitogorsk
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+0.33 Goal DifferentialHigher is better +0.67
2.25 Average goals concededLower is better 2.33
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%
5.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.0 / 15
Prediction separation5.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
43.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
56.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sibir Novosibirsk
W · 1-2W · 3-1W · 3-7W · 5-2L · 1-4
Metallurg Magnitogorsk
W · 3-1W · 4-6W · 1-2L · 1-2W · 2-0

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.03.19Sibir Novosibirsk3 : 1Metallurg Magnitogorsk
2015.03.16Metallurg Magnitogorsk5 : 2Sibir Novosibirsk
2015.03.14Sibir Novosibirsk3 : 2Metallurg Magnitogorsk
2015.03.13Sibir Novosibirsk2 : 0Metallurg Magnitogorsk
2014.11.12Sibir Novosibirsk4 : 1Metallurg Magnitogorsk
2014.09.23Metallurg Magnitogorsk2 : 1Sibir Novosibirsk
2014.03.25Sibir Novosibirsk2 : 3Metallurg Magnitogorsk
2014.03.22Metallurg Magnitogorsk3 : 2Sibir Novosibirsk
2014.01.25Sibir Novosibirsk2 : 1Metallurg Magnitogorsk
2012.12.26Metallurg Magnitogorsk3 : 5Sibir Novosibirsk