Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
KHL
Russia
Barys AstanaHOME · -
2 : 02015.02.20 · 종료
Metallurg NovokuznetskAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME66.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY33.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
아이스하키 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goal differential · Goals against · Recent form · Home ice
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 70.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+66.1%
VALUE EDGE+66.1%
FAIR ODDS1.51
GRADEA
Barys AstanaAnalysis MetricsMetallurg Novokuznetsk
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+0.17
Goal DifferentialHigher is better
+0.92
2.25
Average goals concededLower is better
2.00
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
75.0%
4.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.3 / 15
Prediction separation13.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Barys Astana
W · 2-3W · 3-5L · 4-0L · 3-2L · 2-1
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
W · 5-2L · 2-3W · 3-2L · 3-2L · 3-0
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.02.20 | Barys Astana | 2 : 0 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk |
| 2015.02.11 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 3 : 2 | Barys Astana |
| 2014.10.12 | Barys Astana | 4 : 5 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk |
| 2014.09.13 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 2 : 5 | Barys Astana |
| 2013.12.11 | Barys Astana | 5 : 3 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk |
| 2013.10.17 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 3 : 5 | Barys Astana |
| 2013.01.07 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 6 : 8 | Barys Astana |
| 2012.09.29 | Barys Astana | 1 : 5 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk |