Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
KHL
Russia
Metallurg NovokuznetskHOME · -
21:002015.02.11 · AP
Barys AstanaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · PRE-MATCH MODEL
HOME37.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY62.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
아이스하키 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Goal differential · Goals against · Recent form · Home ice
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
AWAY 62.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+62.2%
VALUE EDGE+62.2%
FAIR ODDS1.61
GRADEA
Metallurg NovokuznetskAnalysis MetricsBarys Astana
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+0.92
Goal DifferentialHigher is better
+0.17
2.00
Average goals concededLower is better
2.25
62.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
2.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.5 / 15
Prediction separation10.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
L · 3-2L · 3-0L · 2-1W · 0-3W · 5-4
Barys Astana
L · 2-1W · 2-4L · 1-5W · 3-2W · 3-2
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.02.20 | Barys Astana | 2 : 0 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk |
| 2015.02.11 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 3 : 2 | Barys Astana |
| 2014.10.12 | Barys Astana | 4 : 5 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk |
| 2014.09.13 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 2 : 5 | Barys Astana |
| 2013.12.11 | Barys Astana | 5 : 3 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk |
| 2013.10.17 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 3 : 5 | Barys Astana |
| 2013.01.07 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 6 : 8 | Barys Astana |
| 2012.09.29 | Barys Astana | 1 : 5 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk |