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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

KHL Russia
Metallurg NovokuznetskHOME · -
2 : 32014.12.28 · 종료
Amur KhabarovskAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME56.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY43.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
아이스하키 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goal differential · Goals against · Recent form · Home ice

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 55.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +56.3%
VALUE EDGE+56.3%
FAIR ODDS1.77
GRADES
Metallurg NovokuznetskAnalysis MetricsAmur Khabarovsk
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
+0.92 Goal DifferentialHigher is better -1.33
2.00 Average goals concededLower is better 3.25
62.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.3 / 15
Prediction separation5.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
56.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
43.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
W · 3-2W · 5-3L · 1-6L · 0-1L · 6-1
Amur Khabarovsk
L · 3-5L · 1-4L · 1-3L · 2-4W · 3-2

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.02.02Amur Khabarovsk2 : 1Metallurg Novokuznetsk
2015.02.01Amur Khabarovsk0 : 3Metallurg Novokuznetsk
2015.01.27Metallurg Novokuznetsk2 : 4Amur Khabarovsk
2014.12.28Metallurg Novokuznetsk2 : 3Amur Khabarovsk
2014.03.01Amur Khabarovsk2 : 7Metallurg Novokuznetsk
2013.09.09Metallurg Novokuznetsk3 : 1Amur Khabarovsk
2013.03.03Metallurg Novokuznetsk3 : 4Amur Khabarovsk
2013.02.27Amur Khabarovsk3 : 0Metallurg Novokuznetsk
2013.02.26Amur Khabarovsk4 : 2Metallurg Novokuznetsk
2012.11.21Amur Khabarovsk5 : 1Metallurg Novokuznetsk