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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

KHL Russia
Metallurg NovokuznetskHOME · -
19:002014.12.14 · AP
NiznekamskAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · PRE-MATCH MODEL

HOME47.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY52.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
아이스하키 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goal differential · Goals against · Recent form · Home ice

DATA QUALITY 99/100
AI PICK AWAY 51.0% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +52.7%
VALUE EDGE+52.7%
FAIR ODDS1.90
GRADEA
Metallurg NovokuznetskAnalysis MetricsNiznekamsk
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+0.92 Goal DifferentialHigher is better -0.83
2.00 Average goals concededLower is better 2.92
62.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%
1.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.6 / 15
Prediction separation2.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
47.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
52.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
W · 5-3L · 1-6L · 0-1L · 6-1L · 5-0
Niznekamsk
L · 7-2L · 5-3W · 0-2L · 1-4L · 1-3

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.01.13Niznekamsk6 : 0Metallurg Novokuznetsk
2014.12.14Metallurg Novokuznetsk3 : 2Niznekamsk
2014.03.12Niznekamsk2 : 1Metallurg Novokuznetsk
2014.03.08Metallurg Novokuznetsk1 : 3Niznekamsk
2014.01.27Metallurg Novokuznetsk3 : 2Niznekamsk
2013.09.21Niznekamsk6 : 3Metallurg Novokuznetsk
2012.12.06Niznekamsk4 : 3Metallurg Novokuznetsk
2012.10.19Metallurg Novokuznetsk5 : 4Niznekamsk