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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

KHL Russia
Sibir NovosibirskHOME · -
4 : 12014.11.12 · 종료
Metallurg MagnitogorskAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME31.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY68.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
아이스하키 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goal differential · Goals against · Recent form · Home ice

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 70.6% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +68.4%
VALUE EDGE+68.4%
FAIR ODDS1.46
GRADEA
Sibir NovosibirskAnalysis MetricsMetallurg Magnitogorsk
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
+0.58 Goal DifferentialHigher is better +0.42
2.00 Average goals concededLower is better 2.25
85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
5.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
31.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
68.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sibir Novosibirsk
W · 3-0W · 1-0W · 1-4W · 2-3L · 2-0
Metallurg Magnitogorsk
W · 1-2W · 1-4W · 0-1W · 1-2L · 2-1

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.03.19Sibir Novosibirsk3 : 1Metallurg Magnitogorsk
2015.03.16Metallurg Magnitogorsk5 : 2Sibir Novosibirsk
2015.03.14Sibir Novosibirsk3 : 2Metallurg Magnitogorsk
2015.03.13Sibir Novosibirsk2 : 0Metallurg Magnitogorsk
2014.11.12Sibir Novosibirsk4 : 1Metallurg Magnitogorsk
2014.09.23Metallurg Magnitogorsk2 : 1Sibir Novosibirsk
2014.03.25Sibir Novosibirsk2 : 3Metallurg Magnitogorsk
2014.03.22Metallurg Magnitogorsk3 : 2Sibir Novosibirsk
2014.01.25Sibir Novosibirsk2 : 1Metallurg Magnitogorsk
2012.12.26Metallurg Magnitogorsk3 : 5Sibir Novosibirsk