경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

KNVB Beker Netherlands · 2nd Preliminary Round

Groene SterHOME · 4.18

1 : 62026.09.23 · 종료

AFC AmsterdamAWAY · 1.62

HOME · 현재 순위 -

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME24.4%

DRAW24.6%

AWAY51.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH82 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 83/100

AI PICK AWAY 40.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +2.7%

VALUE EDGE+2.7%

FAIR ODDS4.10

GRADEC

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 72/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -19.3%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -28.3%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN -0.4%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST EVEN -0.9%p

MARKET AWAY -34.3%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Groene Ster분석 지표AFC Amsterdam

20.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 37.5%

1.40 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.50

2.20 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.75

33.3% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 60.0%

3.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.2일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

82/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지16.6 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도12.0 / 15

예측 분리도11.3 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보2.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME21.7%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승19.6%표본 51경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승50.5%현재 이동 -9.1%

OPEN → NOW4.60 → 4.18배당 업데이트 2026-09-22 23:52:24

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

24.4%

DRAW

24.6%

AWAY

51.0%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Groene Ster

D · 1-1W · 1-0D · 3-3W · 2-1D · 3-3

AFC Amsterdam

W · 1-3D · 2-2L · 3-0W · 0-2W · 2-3

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.40

→

CURRENT4.14

-5.77%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.16

→

CURRENT4.08

-1.74%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.57

→

CURRENT1.63

+4.07%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-22 11:22:24	4.40	4.16	1.57
2026-09-22 11:32:20	4.40	4.16	1.57
2026-09-22 11:42:19	4.40	4.16	1.57
2026-09-22 11:52:19	4.40	4.16	1.57
2026-09-22 12:02:18	4.41	4.16	1.57
2026-09-22 12:02:19	4.37	4.15	1.57
2026-09-22 12:12:18	4.40	4.16	1.57
2026-09-22 12:22:25	4.40	4.16	1.57
2026-09-22 12:32:18	4.44	4.18	1.57
2026-09-22 12:32:19	4.32	4.11	1.56
2026-09-22 12:42:19	4.40	4.16	1.57
2026-09-22 12:52:19	4.40	4.16	1.57
2026-09-22 13:02:24	4.40	4.16	1.57
2026-09-22 13:12:15	4.40	4.16	1.57
2026-09-22 13:22:18	4.40	4.16	1.57
2026-09-22 13:32:20	4.40	4.16	1.57
2026-09-22 13:42:17	4.40	4.16	1.57
2026-09-22 13:52:18	4.40	4.16	1.57
2026-09-22 14:02:16	4.40	4.16	1.57
2026-09-22 14:12:16	4.40	4.16	1.57
2026-09-22 14:22:18	4.40	4.16	1.57
2026-09-22 14:32:16	4.40	4.16	1.57
2026-09-22 14:42:16	4.40	4.16	1.57
2026-09-22 14:52:18	4.40	4.16	1.57
2026-09-22 15:02:16	4.40	4.16	1.57
2026-09-22 15:12:16	4.40	4.16	1.57
2026-09-22 15:22:17	4.40	4.16	1.57
2026-09-22 15:32:17	4.34	4.14	1.58
2026-09-22 15:42:15	4.34	4.14	1.58
2026-09-22 15:52:18	4.34	4.14	1.58
2026-09-22 16:02:17	4.34	4.14	1.58
2026-09-22 16:12:16	4.34	4.14	1.58
2026-09-22 16:22:19	4.34	4.14	1.58
2026-09-22 16:32:16	4.34	4.14	1.58
2026-09-22 16:42:16	4.34	4.14	1.58
2026-09-22 16:52:19	4.34	4.14	1.58
2026-09-22 17:02:17	4.34	4.14	1.58
2026-09-22 17:12:18	4.34	4.14	1.58
2026-09-22 17:22:21	4.34	4.14	1.58
2026-09-22 17:32:17	4.34	4.14	1.58
2026-09-22 17:42:18	4.34	4.14	1.58
2026-09-22 17:52:19	4.34	4.14	1.58
2026-09-22 18:02:17	4.36	4.14	1.58
2026-09-22 18:02:18	4.29	4.15	1.58
2026-09-22 18:12:16	4.34	4.14	1.58
2026-09-22 18:22:19	4.34	4.14	1.58
2026-09-22 18:32:17	4.36	4.14	1.58
2026-09-22 18:42:16	4.36	4.14	1.58
2026-09-22 18:52:20	4.36	4.14	1.58
2026-09-22 19:02:19	4.36	4.14	1.58
2026-09-22 19:12:16	4.36	4.14	1.58
2026-09-22 19:22:19	4.36	4.14	1.58
2026-09-22 19:32:17	4.36	4.14	1.58
2026-09-22 19:42:17	4.36	4.14	1.58
2026-09-22 19:52:20	4.36	4.14	1.58
2026-09-22 20:02:16	4.36	4.14	1.58
2026-09-22 20:12:15	4.36	4.14	1.58
2026-09-22 20:22:19	4.36	4.14	1.58
2026-09-22 20:32:17	4.36	4.14	1.58
2026-09-22 20:42:16	4.36	4.14	1.58
2026-09-22 20:52:17	4.36	4.14	1.58
2026-09-22 21:02:17	4.38	4.13	1.58
2026-09-22 21:02:18	4.15	4.25	1.57
2026-09-22 21:12:17	4.36	4.14	1.58
2026-09-22 21:22:20	4.36	4.14	1.58
2026-09-22 21:32:18	4.14	4.08	1.63
2026-09-22 21:42:16	4.14	4.08	1.63
2026-09-22 21:52:18	4.14	4.08	1.63
2026-09-22 22:02:16	4.14	4.08	1.63
2026-09-22 22:12:17	4.14	4.08	1.63
2026-09-22 22:22:24	4.14	4.08	1.63
2026-09-22 22:32:25	4.14	4.08	1.63
2026-09-22 22:42:22	4.14	4.08	1.63
2026-09-22 22:52:21	4.14	4.08	1.63
2026-09-22 23:02:26	4.14	4.08	1.63
2026-09-22 23:12:25	4.14	4.08	1.63
2026-09-22 23:22:24	4.14	4.08	1.63
2026-09-22 23:32:20	4.14	4.08	1.63
2026-09-22 23:42:19	4.14	4.08	1.63
2026-09-22 23:52:24	4.14	4.08	1.63

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.23	Groene Ster	1 : 6	AFC Amsterdam