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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

KHL Russia
Medvescak ZagrebHOME · -
03:302014.10.30 · AP
Metallurg NovokuznetskAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · PRE-MATCH MODEL

HOME52.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY47.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
아이스하키 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goal differential · Goals against · Recent form · Home ice

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 51.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +52.9%
VALUE EDGE+52.9%
FAIR ODDS1.89
GRADEA
Medvescak ZagrebAnalysis MetricsMetallurg Novokuznetsk
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-0.83 Goal DifferentialHigher is better +0.92
3.17 Average goals concededLower is better 2.00
25.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 75.0%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.1 / 15
Prediction separation2.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
52.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
47.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Medvescak Zagreb
W · 2-0L · 4-3L · 2-1W · 2-4W · 1-0
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
W · 1-0W · 3-2L · 0-1L · 2-5L · 3-0

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2014.11.07Metallurg Novokuznetsk2 : 3Medvescak Zagreb
2014.10.30Medvescak Zagreb2 : 1Metallurg Novokuznetsk
2013.12.02Metallurg Novokuznetsk1 : 5Medvescak Zagreb
2013.11.02Medvescak Zagreb4 : 3Metallurg Novokuznetsk