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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

KHL Russia
Metallurg NovokuznetskHOME · -
1 : 02014.10.23 · 종료
SochiAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME51.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY48.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
아이스하키 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goal differential · Goals against · Recent form · Home ice

DATA QUALITY 85/100
AI PICK HOME 51.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +51.7%
VALUE EDGE+51.7%
FAIR ODDS1.93
GRADEA
Metallurg NovokuznetskAnalysis MetricsSochi
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+0.92 Goal DifferentialHigher is better -1.58
2.00 Average goals concededLower is better 3.75
62.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 75.0%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.1 / 15
Prediction separation1.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
51.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
48.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
W · 3-2L · 0-1L · 2-5L · 3-0W · 4-5
Sochi
L · 1-0W · 0-2L · 2-6L · 6-2W · 2-4

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2014.10.23Metallurg Novokuznetsk1 : 0Sochi